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  • 05 January 2024

Chelsea vs Fulham: Who’s going to win ultimately?

Chelsea will face Fulham in a Premier League match at Stamford Bridge on Saturday, January 13th, starting at 11:30 PM AEDT.

On Monday, two teams from West London will play. Chelsea is eager to make their season better. Let's see the coming game at Craven Cottage in our Fulham match. Chelsea prediction and preview.

Quick Hits: Chelsea vs Fulham in Premier League

Here are some quick points about the match between Fulham and their rivals. Chelsea match:

  • According to the Opta supercomputer, Chelsea are a little more likely to win in West London derby against Fulham with 39.7% chance.
  • Chelsea didn't score a goal in their last three big soccer games, even though they took 45 shots. The last time they didn't score in four league games was back when José Mourinho and Avram Grant were the coaches, which happened in September 2007.
  • Willian, who used to play for Chelsea and scored against them last year in this game, has made four of his five main English soccer league goals while playing for Fulham at Craven Cottage.

Match Preview: Chelsea vs Fulham in Premier League 2024

Before the big game, Chelsea is going through a bad time in 2023 even though new manager Mauricio Pochettino has come. On Monday, they go to Craven Cottage without winning in their last three big games. Fulham wants to make things hard for them.

In the sixth game, Chelsea lost to Aston Villa at Stamford Bridge. Ollie Watkins scored for them and that left Chelsea with only five points so far. This is the first time Chelsea has begun a league season with only one win from six games like this since 2001. Moreover, in 2023 they got only 25 points. This was the lowest among long-time teams playing in Premier League games up to Matchday 7. They tied this lowest score with Everton team.

In the EFL Cup game, Chelsea won 1-0 against Brighton and Hove Albion. Nicolas Jackson scored the only goal to help them move forward. But Jackson, who hasn't done well in the big league this season, is banned for tomorrow's match. This happened because he got five warnings during the 2023-24 period.

Without Jackson, soccer players such as Raheem Sterling and Cole Palmer may have to help fix Chelsea's problem with not scoring goals. Armando Broja who is now healthy from a knee issue might also be needed for this purpose. Even though making 45 tries with a total xG of 5.5 in their last three league games, Pochettino's team couldn't score any goals. The last time Chelsea did not score in four league games was September 2007 when Avram Grant replaced José Mourinho as their manager.

Even though Chelsea is at 14th place in the Premier League, there are good signs from other numbers. Opta's expected points model ranks them fourth. But, Chelsea needs to turn their chances into goals because they have missed out on scoring by a league top amount of 6.6 this year and not lived up to what people think they can do based on how many times the ball has been hit towards them in previous games.

Injuries have made things harder for Pochettino at Chelsea, mostly in the spots where full-backs play. Reece James is still getting better from hurting his hamstring, and Ben Chilwell had to go out of the cup game on Wednesday because he got hurt. Malo Gusto can't play anymore because he got a red card against Aston Villa. So, Marc Cucurella replaced as a right-back player in the match against Brighton. He might keep playing this role on Monday too.

Last year, Fulham did very well. They were higher than Chelsea for the first time since 1983 and finished in a good spot when they came back to play in the Premier League. They began the 2023-4 season well. From six games, they earned eight points and planned to repeat their success.

But, Fulham hasn't been doing well against other London teams in the Premier League recently. They haven't won any of their matches and only have four draws and five losses since they beat Chelsea 2-1 a while back. That game happened during this same contest last January. This season, they had three big opponents. They lost at home to Brentford (3-0) and also tied with Arsenal (2-2) and Crystal Palace.

On the okay side, Fulham has stopped letting goals in two games in a row when playing Premier League. This happened around the same time as João Palhinha came back after his possible move to Bayern Munich didn't happen. Their recent run of not letting in any goals for three games started with a scoreless match against Chelsea last month.

Last Wednesday in the EFL Cup, Fulham played against Norwich City. They didn't stop their opponents completely but they did good when it came to scoring goals with Carlos Vinícius and Alex Iwobi getting 2-1 win for themselves. Last January, Vinícius scored a big goal against Chelsea and now he might play again because Raúl Jiménez is still having troubles.

Jiménez hasn't scored in 21 games of the Premier League for Wolves and Fulham since last season began, even though he has 3.23 expected goals (xG). This is more than any other player without a goal during that time period.

Former Chelsea winger Willian might be key in helping Fulham with their struggles up front. He scored against his old team when they last visited Craven Cottage. Most of his five league goals for Fulham were at home games there. Bobby De Cordova-Reid is probably going to stay on the right wing. Meanwhile, Adama Traoré can't play and Kenny Tete needs an exam before the game starts.

Head-to-Head Statistics: Chelsea vs Fulham in Premier League

In games between Chelsea and Fulham in the Premier League, Chelsea has always been strong. But last season, the trend changed when Fulham got four points against Chelsea. This included one win and a draw. This was a big change compared to their past 15 matches, where Fulham had only gotten four draws and lost 11 games before.

Chelsea now wants to stop losing two games in a row at Craven Cottage. Their last double loses on the road against Fulham happened back in April 1977 when they were playing together with lower levels than now.

The last time the two teams met, it ended in a scoreless game at Stamford Bridge in February. In this game, Enzo Fernández made his first appearance for Chelsea.

In the last 14 Premier League games between Fulham and Chelsea, only on Monday have they been ahead for a total of 39 minutes. They won 2-1 at home in January with these minutes.

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